Iran labeled US-Israeli strikes on electricity infrastructure as attacks on civilians, citing increased regime pressure and potential for destabilization. The market reflects a 15% increase in the probability of Iran having no Head of State by December 31, 2026, while the likelihood of Trump announcing an end to military operations by March 1, 2027, is expected to decrease by 15%.
Israel is targeting Lebanon's water infrastructure, causing disruptions to water supplies, particularly in the Litani River area. Despite Israeli evacuation warnings, residents in Tyre remain, highlighting the ongoing tensions. This attack is linked to the escalating US-Iran conflict and is being discussed at the UN Security Council.